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Thermal & Economic Analysis of Supplementary Firing Large Combined Cycle Plants |
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Jon Backlund, Coen Company, Inc. INTRODUCTION:The benefits of supplementary firing a large combined cycle plant depend on a number of factors. Plant design, cost of capital, cost of fuel, marginal cost of electricity production, and hours of operation are the most important. Since many variables are involved, most notably plant design and regional wholesale electricity prices, any particular application should be analyzed in detail to determine the full merit of adding supplementary firing. Although a supplementary fired plant inherently has a lower efficiency than an unfired plant, the ability to produce more power output during periods of high electricity prices gives it an economic advantage depending on the demand for the electricity and the number of hours the high prices exist. Two types of supplementary-fired plants are compared with a nominal 500 MW unfired plant. The first adds approximately 80 MW of additional power from supplementary firing and the other only supplements the lost steam turbine power of an unfired plant during high ambient conditions. With this basis, the first type of plant achieves additional income as much as $7 million and the second type of plant achieves a payback in less than 3 years in most cities of the United States. Burner operation that is restricted to the summer on-peak hours is the most attractive. ECONOMIC BENEFITS OF SUPPLEMENTARY FIRING:It is the tradeoff between periods of high and low electricity prices that determines the economic benefits of supplementary firing. When electricity prices are below the cost of production, both unfired and fired plants have a net loss in income, but fired plants have a higher loss because they have a higher cost of production. When electricity prices are higher than the cost of production, both unfired and fired plants have a net gain in income, but fired plants have a higher gain because they have more generating capacity to sell. ELECTRICITY SUPPLY AND COST:For each type of supplementary-fired plant there is the ability to supply additional electricity as compared to the unfired base plant. However, there is a cost associated with this ability to supply additional electricity. The costs of electricity production - capital, fuel and operating & maintenance - increase. ELECTRICITY DEMAND AND PRICE:Wholesale purchases of electricity can now be performed through regional power exchanges or futures markets. Through power exchanges, suppliers submit bids for providing power hour by hour and buyers submit bids to buy power hour by hour. Low electricity prices occur during off-peak hours and high electricity prices occur during the on-peak hours with the highest occurring during the summer months of July and August. SUPPLY AND DEMAND:The intersection of the supply and demand curves for each hour produces the market-clearing price (MCP). Provided the incremental costs of this additional generating capacity are lower than the MCP, there will always be a demand for this less expensive power. Therefore, if a supplementary-fired plant's increased revenue from selling its additional generating capacity can exceed its increased costs of electricity production there will be an economic benefit over an unfired plant. BASE PLANT DESCRIPTION:The base plant selected is a nominal 500 MW combined-cycle power plant with no supplementary firing capability. It uses two (2) nominal 170 MW "F" class gas turbines with a common nominal 160 MW steam turbine and two (2) unfired HRSGs. The base plant has the same arrangement as the fired plant shown in Figure 1, but without the duct burner. PLANT COMPARISONS:Two types of supplementary-fired plants are compared to the nominal 500 MW base plant without supplementary firing:
PLANT PERFORMANCE- CASE 1 FIRED PLANT VS. BASE UNFIRED PLANT:The base unfired plant is compared to a supplementary-fired plant which
is of the same basic design as the unfired plant, but modified to accommodate
400 MMBtu/hr (LHV) of supplementary firing per HRSG and the subsequent
increased steam capacity. Only performance at 60F ambient is considered
since it is representative of the relative difference between the two
plants. Table 1, Plant Performance at 60F Ambient The general reason for the lower efficiency for the supplementary-fired plant in maximum-firing mode versus the base plant is that the net fuel added by supplementary firing has the effect of adding power in a Rankine cycle mode, which is less efficient than combined-cycle. The loss of efficiency is not as severe as would be for a conventional Rankine cycle since the combustion air is preheated and there is a side-benefit of additional heat recovery by the HRSG. The stack temperature reduces from 235 deg F to 200 deg F. The incremental heat rate of the fired plant is 7824 Btu/kWh from unfired to maximum firing. The reason the supplementary-fired plant has a lower power output and efficiency during unfired operation as compared to the base plant is that the common equipment, particularly the steam turbine, being sized for the steam rate for maximum supplemental-firing and thus being less efficient at part load. Plant performance was modeled using HRST software, with typical industry values for component efficiencies obtained from equipment suppliers and users. FUEL COSTS:In 1999 the average natural gas price to electricity suppliers was $2.58/MMBtu HHV (source: Energy Information Administration/Electric Power Annual 1998 Volume I).
OPERATING & MAINTENANCE COSTS:Typical O&M costs for a nominal 500 MW plant are $2 per MWh or $8.4 million per year (based on 8400 hours of operation). This number is reconfirmed by EIA Report # DOE/EIA-0383(99). It is not unrealistic to assume that the supplementary-fired plants would be approximately the same. CAPITAL EQUIPMENT COSTS:Budgetary costs are obtained from equipment suppliers for the gas turbine, steam turbine, cooling tower and feed pumps. HRST modeling software estimated the HRSG costs. The most difficult costs to estimate are the additional costs of ancillary equipment, supply interfaces for transmission, gas, water and sewer, construction and project development. Therefore, two scenarios for these additional capital costs, except project development costs, are analyzed. On one extreme it is assumed these additional costs do not increase and on the other extreme it is assumed these additional costs are proportional to the maximum plant output. This is useful in determining the sensitivity of the analysis to increased capital equipment costs for the supplementary-fired plant. A cost of capital or discount rate of 12% and a term of financing of 20 years is used. Note: The costs are in terms of $ per MWh of unfired operation.
Table 3, Cost of Capital BASE COST OF ELECTRICITY PRODUCTION:Using the costs determined in the preceding sections, a base cost of
electricity production is determined for the base plant and the Case 1
fired plant for unfired operation.
Table 4, Base Cost of Electricity Production The incremental cost of electricity production from supplementary firing the plant in Case 1 is $24.40 per MWh, the fuel costs in Table 2 plus O&M costs. PRICE OF OFF-PEAK POWER:For the purposes of this analysis the price of off-peak power is set as the average fuel cost of the unfired base power plant, $18.54 per MWh (see Table 2). The exact amount may be somewhat lower, but this is not significant in comparing an unfired plant with a supplementary-fired plant since either plant does not typically recover capital costs during off-peak hours. It is the relative difference between the base costs of production for the two plants, which is key. POTENTIAL ADDITIONAL ANNUAL INCOME - CASE 1 FIRED PLANT:Charts 1 and 2 reflect the potential additional annual income that can
be realized by a supplementary-fired plant for year-round operation and
summer on-peak operation, respectively. If the additional capital costs
for ancillary equipment, supply interfaces for transmission, gas, water
and sewer, and construction do not increase significantly the supplementary-fired
plant produces higher income than the unfired base plant. Potential annual
income for a fired plant over an unfired plant ranges from a negative
$3 million to a positive $6 million. Considering the lowest and highest
cost scenarios for the incremental costs of the supply interfaces and
the lowest and highest prices of electricity causes this wide range.
Chart 1, Additional Annual Income with Nominal 580
MW Summer on-peak operation is defined as operation during only the on-peak hours of business days from mid-May to mid-September. Potential higher income for the fired plant is as much as $7 million annually. See Chart 2 on the next page. For almost all combinations of electricity prices and capital costs, the fired plant has more economic benefit. However, if the price of electricity is at its lowest average futures price for the month, income ranges from a loss of $1 million to a gain of $2 million. Again, this depends on the additional capital costs for ancillary equipment, supply interfaces for transmission, gas, water and sewer, and construction.
Chart 2, Additional Annual Income with Nominal 580
MW
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